A recent 20236 report reflects on China’s dominance in the whole supply chain of battery production. It is not just about cheaper factories but years of building the know-how, supplier networks  and engineering depth.  While the report  notes  that “Batteries are becoming one of the most important technologies of the 21st century”. The supply chain includes material processing, cell manufacture. Batteries are crucial to Electric Vehicles, power grids  (themselves ever more important to  the AI boom) and , also more evident, military applications.

The report  is not anti-Chinese in tone but argues for subsidies in other parts of the world to create strategic resilience for the future. It suggests that even though there are innovative types of battery─-solid state and sodium-ion─Western companies  should focus on the now regular lithium-ion type. It suggests  they create partnerships with Asian manufacturers. At the same time such companies are researching more efficient lithium extraction though European projects  on the evidence of a mine in the Austrian state of Carinthia, are dependent on Australian capital and Saudi extraction facilities.  One company however , General Motors which in its heyday of US auto manufacture carried the slogan What’s-Good-For-General-Motors-Is Good-For- America.  has its own Wallace Battery Cell Innovation Center is betting on sodium-ion, developing a cheaper version of such a battery  on expectation of data centre demand.

Chinese ambiguity towards its dominance and export capacity is  between its desire to keep control of the supply chain  as with its export controls on graphite an essential component,  and  the needs of Chinese battery battery makers weighed down  by domestic oversupply.  A specific case  are the dealings between  China’s CATL and India’s Reliance Industries conglomerate. In relation to Reliance’s hope for a technology transfer that would allow  the making of cells locally and catch up with China’s expertise through partnerships.  Negotiations are running into China tightening controls  on some battery technology exports.